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Monday, April 21, 2025

2022: Washington County aging and government transfer dependency trends

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John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

In 2022, Washington County received $2.5 billion in government transfer payments, equivalent to $8,999 per capita.

These payments—which include Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and income maintenance—accounted for 11.3% of all personal income in the county, according to information from the Economic Innovation Group.

This marks a slight increase in the county’s reliance on government transfers compared to 2012, when such payments made up 10.5% of total income. Since then, the share has risen by 0.8%.

Government transfer payments are non-repayable funds provided by federal, state, or local governments to support individuals in need. These payments aim to stabilize economic conditions and provide financial support during hardships. Key programs include Social Security transfers (retirement benefits), Medicare transfers (healthcare for seniors), Medicaid transfers (healthcare for low-income individuals), and income maintenance transfers (financial assistance for basic needs).

In 2022, government transfers in Washington County primarily focused on older adults—such as Social Security transfers, which totaled $1 billion (42.2% of all transfer income), and Medicare, which accounted for $632.3 million (25.5%)—played a significant role in the county's overall income.

On a per capita basis, Social Security payments rose from $2,831 in 2012 and $506 in 1970 to $3,797 in 2022, reflecting a 34.1% increase over the past decade and a 650.4% shift since 1970.

Similarly, Medicare transfers climbed from $1,489 in 2012 and $130 in 1970 to $2,292, marking 53.9% and 1,663.1% increases, respectively.

These increases in per capita payments align with shifts in the county’s age distribution. In 2022, residents aged 65 and older made up 16.6% of the total population, compared to 11.6% in 2012 and 5.8% in 1970. While the senior share of the population has increased, the rise in per capita Social Security and Medicare transfers suggests that these assistance programs for older adults now require a larger share of government funding—either due to growing needs, expanded eligibility, higher benefit levels, or increased enrollment.

According to the Economic Innovation Group, total income in Washington County excluding public assistance amounted to $70,815 per capita in 2022, compared to $79,814 when government transfers were included.

Breaking down the other contributions in the county, Medicaid transfers made up $407.2 million, a 16.4% share of total income, while income maintenance programs, including assistance such as SNAP or TANF, added another $160.1 million, or 6.4% of the total.

Compared to the previous year, Washington County's reliance on government transfers decreased by 2.9%.

Government transfers have long been a modest financial safety net, historically comprising only a small fraction of Americans' income. However, since the 1970s—sometimes dubbed the “Great Transfer-mation”—dependency has surged from 8.2% (or $2,016 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970 to 17.6% (or $11,529 per capita) in 2022 nationwide.

According to the Economic Innovation Group’s analysis, these trends are not merely short-term responses to economic pressures but rather reflect a profound, long-term transformation in how government support is integrated into American life. The study illustrates that structural shifts—from rising healthcare expenses and demographic changes to stagnant wages—have significantly increased dependency on government transfers.

Breakdown of Government Transfers by Program in Washington County, 2022
Social Security Transfers [42.2%]Medicare Transfers [25.5%]Medicaid Transfers [16.4%]Income Maintenance Transfers [6.4%]

2022 Minnesota County Rankings by Per Capita Government Transfers

CountyState Rank (Per Capita Transfers)Dependency on Transfers (%)% Population 65+Social Security Transfers (%)Medicare Transfers (%)Medicaid Transfers (%)Income Maintenance Transfers (%)Per Capita Transfers ($)
Koochiching County134.54%28.35%33.8%21.8%26.2%8%$18,288
Traverse County221.19%25.69%28.9%25.2%29.1%10%$18,142
Big Stone County325.51%26.63%28.4%26.5%29.4%7.2%$17,907
Aitkin County435.56%34%32.9%28%22.5%6.9%$17,748
Cass County531.12%27%35.1%20.8%24.4%10.1%$17,400
Lac qui Parle County624.86%27.78%29%27.7%29.1%6.7%$17,206
Wadena County736.69%20.29%27.1%22.9%29.5%10%$17,125
Lake of the Woods County828.51%26%31.3%28.3%23.9%6.8%$16,996
Mahnomen County934.75%17.68%16.4%15.2%50%11.5%$16,903
Itasca County1031.84%25.69%34.6%22.7%24.4%8.8%$16,408
Lake County1130.94%27.75%35.2%24.2%22.5%5.7%$16,406
Norman County1227.33%21.57%27.5%22.3%33%8.8%$16,332
Yellow Medicine County1324.59%21.66%29.8%24.8%28.3%7%$16,277
Martin County1425.13%24.37%32.6%25.9%25.4%9%$15,784
Clearwater County1529.49%21%26.7%23.1%29.9%9.7%$15,759
Kittson County1622%25.89%33.5%23.6%27.3%7.7%$15,419
Murray County1722.71%26.78%32.5%30.3%22%7%$15,381
Grant County1824.75%23.53%33.2%27.5%22.8%8.1%$15,375
Faribault County1927.39%23.83%31.7%24.2%26.9%9.4%$15,269
Cottonwood County2024.16%22.93%31.1%26.6%25.4%9.4%$15,260
Becker County2126.26%22.8%31.7%23.6%27.5%8%$15,100
Renville County2223.35%21.83%29.6%26.9%26.7%8.5%$15,050
Wilkin County2321.17%19.88%28.2%21.5%34.3%8.5%$14,932
Beltrami County2429.45%17.5%24.7%18.6%36%11.1%$14,831
Mille Lacs County2528.82%18.32%31%23.9%25.6%8.5%$14,810
Crow Wing County2628%24.48%36.6%24.8%19.4%7.7%$14,795
Hubbard County2725.24%26.66%36.4%24%20.3%8.9%$14,791
Polk County2825%19.4%27.2%20.6%32.5%10.2%$14,768
St. Louis County2926%21.35%31.9%20.5%28.4%9.5%$14,720
Marshall County3019.38%23.33%30.5%24.7%27.4%7.1%$14,718
Swift County3122%23.62%27.3%23%31.8%9%$14,711
Red Lake County3220%23%29.3%27.3%26.1%8.6%$14,685
Kanabec County3329%21.75%33.7%23.8%24.6%8.6%$14,485
Pine County3432%22.56%33.2%22%24.4%9.7%$14,479
Pope County3522.71%25.29%32.7%26.9%23.9%7.4%$14,474
Lincoln County3623.74%24.39%30.6%24.1%30.5%6.8%$14,361
Otter Tail County3725.28%25.42%36.1%24.8%20.7%7.5%$14,347
Chippewa County3825.54%21.81%28.5%24.5%29.7%9.1%$14,320
Todd County3925.64%23.25%29.4%25.8%26.4%9.1%$14,281
Cook County4025%30.94%43.3%25.9%17.1%5.8%$14,197
Brown County4122.73%22.11%33%27.2%24.2%6.9%$14,130
Freeborn County4225.47%23.25%34.9%24%22.8%10.5%$14,106
Redwood County4319%21.57%29.7%26.7%27%8%$14,103
Morrison County4427.28%21.22%30%24.5%24.1%8.4%$14,060
Carlton County4527.82%18.64%30.8%23.2%27.3%7.6%$13,981
Douglas County4622.23%24.27%37.7%25.4%20%6.8%$13,898
Wabasha County4722.35%23.56%35.4%28.7%20.3%5.9%$13,597
Mower County4824.97%18.47%29.5%22.4%28.4%11.7%$13,443
Pennington County4920.29%19.13%28.9%23.3%27.5%8.6%$13,432
Pipestone County5019.88%21%28.7%26.6%28.9%9.6%$13,414
Kandiyohi County5122.21%20.33%31.5%22.5%25.3%10.8%$13,217
Jackson County5220.59%23.62%33.1%23.6%26.3%8.6%$13,089
Meeker County5323.8%21.16%34.6%23.9%23.7%7.9%$13,033
Rock County5421.27%20.45%32.9%26.6%24%8.2%$12,984
Houston County5521.61%23.33%38.8%21.4%23.2%6.6%$12,969
Fillmore County5622.93%22%34.8%25.2%24.3%7.4%$12,751
Waseca County5723.16%19.31%34.1%25.1%23.5%8.8%$12,707
Lyon County5821%17.6%29.3%21.7%29.8%10.4%$12,693
Ramsey County5919.37%15.9%27.5%18.1%34.3%13.6%$12,662
Watonwan County6022%20.84%29.6%23.1%28.3%9.2%$12,597
Sibley County6120.7%19.57%32.5%25.3%25.5%8.2%$12,392
Goodhue County6219.3%20.67%38.1%26.6%20.7%6.5%$12,352
McLeod County6321.44%20.12%35.3%26%23%6.9%$12,345
Roseau County6419.5%19.35%34.9%23.3%24.7%8.6%$11,942
Steele County6521.47%19%35.6%23.6%23.8%9.6%$11,778
Winona County6620%18.89%34.7%21.5%24.8%8.9%$11,521
Stevens County6717.55%17.69%29.4%26.5%25.7%9.3%$11,446
Stearns County6819.2%16.16%30.6%22%20.7%10.9%$11,387
Nobles County6919.74%17%28.9%21.6%29.8%12.3%$11,078
Clay County7021.43%14%27.6%18.5%30.3%12.5%$10,923
Isanti County7120.82%16.97%37.2%21.2%21.3%8.2%$10,914
Hennepin County7212%15.73%31.2%19.4%31.2%11.1%$10,860
Chisago County7318.35%17.11%36.9%25.3%20.5%6.7%$10,790
Le Sueur County7417.74%18.56%35.6%23%24.5%7.5%$10,768
Benton County7519.62%14.3%31%19.1%26.8%11.2%$10,643
Nicollet County7617.8%17.88%35.2%23.7%21.4%8.8%$10,319
Rice County7719.19%16.46%36.8%22.8%22.9%9.1%$10,275
Blue Earth County7819.23%15%32.1%22.5%23%11.1%$10,159
Olmsted County7914.84%16.83%36.2%21.8%24.3%9.8%$10,026
Dodge County8016.53%15.87%35.7%23.4%22.9%8.6%$9,759
Anoka County8116%15.41%35.8%21.9%24.3%9.1%$9,665
Dakota County8213.53%15.92%37.8%23.3%22%7.9%$9,466
Washington County8311.27%16.61%42.2%25.5%16.4%6.4%$8,999
Sherburne County8415.47%12.35%35.2%24.4%18.8%9%$8,833
Wright County8513.45%13.7%37.3%25%20.1%7.2%$8,412
Carver County868.64%14.35%41.7%25.8%17.6%6%$7,522
Scott County879.65%12.47%38.4%23.3%19.8%8.3%$7,279

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